Saturday 21 December 2013

Aam aadmi of Delhi want Aam Aadmi Party govt, says Mail Today-CVoter survey


The BJP won't be smiling much, not just because it has missed out on forming the government in Delhi - a small state but loaded with political symbolism - but because after making the party whiff the perfume of power, Delhi's voter isn't very sure of it now. The Congress, of course, will have to be content with the small consolation that it would be part of the government, but as a much junior partner.

On Monday, Delhi could finally get a government, led by the Aam Aadmi party with outside support from the Congress. That government will make history not just because it was made after days of uncertainty and political ping-pong, but how it was ultimately put together.


The Aam Aadmi Party, which came in at number two, four seats short of the BJP and 20 more that than the crushed Congress, will take a decision based on 'public opinion'.

This time, it will really be the opinion of the public, since AAP set up a mass contact programme through the web as well as SMS via mobile phones for people to state their position on who AAP should tie up with, who should be the chief minister and if it should form a coalition government at all.

While that announcement is still a day away, a CVoter survey done for MAIL TODAY on what the Delhi voter thinks about the forming of a government in Delhi, has thrown up some interesting insights. The biggest finding is that Delhiites are firmly behind AAP and the survey shows that one in every two voters will go for the jhaadu (broom) if there is a re-poll.


The survey was done over this week, across 3000-plus randomly selected voters and constituencies. The emerging picture from this 'snap poll' will make AAP and Arvind Kejriwal smile even wider than they have been after their Delhi win.

Not all clear



The other takeaway - or a reaffirmation - from the CVoter-MAIL TODAY snap poll is that Arvind Kejriwal remains the top choice for Delhi. He is the pick for the chief minister's office, even though AAP insiders say that that he remains reluctant to take it up. Not just CM, Kejriwal also make a strong show against Narendra Modi for the prime minister's chair, coming in second, well ahead of Rahul Gandhi. The poll also confirms the Congress' offer of support to AAP, because a much larger number want the two to tie up than an AAP-BJP coalition. In fact, even the number of those who don't want AAP to ally with anyone too is larger than a coalition with the BJP.

For the Congress, the big worry is that only a very small minority thinks that the Congress will win in either an Assembly re-poll or the coming Lok Sabha elections. In fact, going by this poll, the Congress has some serious problems, because even among Congress supporters, only one in 10 think the party has a chance in either a re-poll or in the Lok Sabha elections.

But the downer for AAP is that as far as the Lokpal Bill that was passed by Parliament earlier this week is concerned, it is seen as a victory for Anna Hazare rather than Kejriwal.

In the lead

The big picture though, is that AAP is clearly in the lead in Delhi and in either an Assembly re-poll or the Lok Sabha elections, there could be a replay of its unprecedented performance. That will give both BJP and Congress strategists sleepless nights.  



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